The pace of global warming has almost doubled since 2015.
A new study published in Geophysical Research Letters (Foster & Rahmstorf, 2026) presents alarming figures: the pace of global warming has almost doubled since 2015. In the period 1970–2015, the average temperature rose at a rate of 0.2 °C per decade, but over the past ten years this rate has increased to roughly 0.35 °C per decade.
Scientists removed the influence of natural factors (El Niño, volcanic activity, solar cycles) from temperature data to isolate the purely human contribution to warming. The result shows a statistically significant acceleration of warming with confidence exceeding 98 %.
If the current pace persists, the 1.5 °C limit set by the Paris Agreement will be exceeded in the long term between 2026 and 2029.
As co‑author Stefan Rahmstorf says: the outcome depends on whether ambitious emission‑reduction actions are adopted worldwide.
Related articles
Mercedes-Benz reached for aluminum from scrap.
The world is lagging on 22 out of 23 nature goals for 2030. The only "green" one is the climate one.
Organic eggs have twice the carbon footprint of eggs from cage farming.
